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every roll a crit
fluentinkobold + schizophrenic + mischievous + lucky + madnesspotion may god have mercy on anything standing in your way
Comments
Critical fails will override any criticals and double critical fails is not a crit. We'll first off add the possibilities for doubles which is 13 since we don't want to double up on possibilities for high rolls or count double critical fails so adding that we get 217/400 possibilities to crit not including any crit fail things. Now we need to remove the possibility for critical fails when they match up with a 15 through 20 crit, so that's 6 possibilities for one die and double that for the other die being a crit fail. Removing 12 possibilites that's 205/400 which gives us our final chance of rolling a critical hit, 51.25%. This is supported by a program that I ran to approximate the probability. https://i.imgur.com/fWPgffb.png
I'll just do quick program approximations for the rest since it'll be less time consuming and won't be an hour long post to read.
Fluent in Kobold + Lucky + Madness Potion - 64.28% Crit Chance & 14.26% Crit Fail Chance
Fluent in Kobold + Lucky - 51.25% Crit Chance & 9.75% Crit Fail Chance
Fluent in Kobold + Madness Potion - 25.23% Crit Chance & 14.26% Crit Fail Chance
Lucky + Madness Potion - 58.26% Crit Chance & 14.26% Crit Fail Chance
Lucky - 48% Crit Chance & 9.75% Crit Fail Chance
Madness Potion - 12.83% Crit Chance & 14.26% Crit Fail Chance
I'd probably say Lucky + Madness Potion is the most feasible one and I'd definitely take the extra 5% crit fail chance for an extra 10% crit chance. Apologies for the long post, if there's some situation I missed that you want to see just ask.
Madness Potion + Lucky + Unlucky - 33.08% Crit Chance & 57.81% Crit Fail Chance
Madness Potion + Fluent in Kobold + Lucky + Unlucky - 35.88% Crit Chance & 57.81% Crit Fail Chance
Wow, for the last one you have a 93.69% chance to either critically fail or critically succeed. Ultra wack.
I was just going off some light math in my head still 42% is just like no don't
Kobold + Lucky - 48% Crit Chance & 9.75% Crit Fail Chance
Kobold + Unlucky - 7.25% Crit Chance & 43.74% Crit Fail Chance
Kobold + Lucky + Unlucky - 36% Crit Chance & 43.74% Crit Fail Chance