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BETS & PREDICTIONS GAME for Campaign 5 of Season 3: Lyn Azveltara Gaiden!

13

Comments

  • Coe will introduce his character first (40 points)
    The first combat encounter is noticeably harder than all the others (60 points)
    Deadbones slaps an ally to death (100 points)
    Coe adopts a disciple of some kind to get SWOLE with (40 points)
    Coe, rather than playing as a strong hairy dude, literally plays a swole furry. (50 points)
    Nisovin completely overshadows Lyn Azveltara (40 points)
    Rohbear Leomaris shows up in the campaign (10 points)
    Phineas Barringster shows up in the campaign (30 points)
    Coober shows up in the campaign (40 points)
    You win the raffle for any Divine Decision (10000 points)
    The Divine Decision goes off without a hitch (50 points)
    No player characters die (40 points)
    Nisovin uses his Fortune Potion to solve an encounter or puzzle (40 points)
    At least one person gets a Legendary (30 points)
  • Alright everyone, bets are now closed as the campaign is starting!

    Good luck!
  • Damn, I think I lost a lot of points this week.
  • I think I am net positive or net neutral

  • I am so fucked lmao
  • There were a lot of losses this week. Too many high-point bets that were a miss on my part, especially ones relating to Nisovin.

    Just a couple questions:

    1. Did Coe adopt a disciple in the form of the Carp King? Yes, he didn't get SWOLE with the King, and it wasn't much of a disciple relationship.

    2. I missed like five minutes at the end, did Coober end up showing?
  • @kilozombie No Coober and I'd say no to the carp king even though it hurts my bets

  • Started from zero and made some sweet gains this week.

    See y'all in January.
  • edited November 2017
    Never betting on Nisovin again. I knew that either coe or niso would get intro'd first but i picked wrong. Thought it was crazy to bet on a phineas appearance. Im so much in the negative... 

    I did totally call that the inside of the tower was in the realm of holding back in season 2 though~
  • I FUCKING CALLLED IT

  • Thankfully there's no riding into the negatives, but unfortunately you can get a zero score. :(

    I'll post the calculations in full tomorrow morning ASAP.
  • @kilozombie You better do it or I'll Kyle you Dean buddy (I'm hoping you know what that means and the reference isn't lost on you)

  • @kilozombie
    we still need a clip of that tbh
  • @kilozombie Well that's good. At least I'll still be at 0
  • edited November 2017
    I feel like I was gonna do well.. only if I didn't say the quintara lotus one, that one hurt a lot
  • Oh, one other bet I need input on-- Coe ended up being a strong hairy dude, but he also had an especial perchance for the animal kingdom. Would that bet go through, or is the wording of it damning?
  • @kilozombie I don't even see that bet
  • @kilozombie He was pretty much a furry in all senses Not a literal dressed up one but yeah I would agree with a yes

  • @kilozombie I'd say that he spent most of his time focusing on being a Louis Armstrong type character thats strong and loud rather than being more of a furry (Wrong button)
  • Wait did the bet about the ytt turning into a dead character go through? Cause since Lance is ageless in a way he is dead but he's not completely dead.
  • @Kingedyou When it isn't clear like this case I think we should go with the literal meaning of death and yes Lance died, but was resurrect.
  • Holy smokes sorry for the delay!! I got super busy today and the tally might not come 'til tomorrow. I'm really sorry, y'all.
  • edited November 2017
    Finally, after a mountain of procrastination, everything's finally in place for the real star of the show (besides the numerous actual stars of the show): THE RESULTS.

    First off, a list of which bets were wins and which were losses:
    LOSS Deadbones will introduce his character first (30 points)
    LOSS Spiff will introduce her character first (30 points)
    LOSS Coe will introduce his character first (40 points)
    WIN Nisovin will introduce his character first (40 points)
    LOSS The first combat encounter is noticeably harder than all the others (60 points)
    LOSS A character falls into lava almost as soon as they're introduced (70 points)
    LOSS Deadbones slaps an ally to death (100 points)
    WIN Deadbones maintains his accent through the entirety of the campaign (20 points)
    WIN Spiff swaps bodies with another character (50 points)
    WIN Spiff never fails a Death Roll (50 points)
    WIN Spiff's character Lyn displays no regret for what she has done in the Dreamweaver vision (40 points)
    LOSS Coe adopts a disciple of some kind to get SWOLE with (40 points)
    WIN Coe, rather than playing as a strong hairy dude, literally plays a swole furry. (50 points)
    LOSS Nisovin's character breaks the campaign utterly (80 points)
    LOSS Nisovin completely overshadows Lyn Azveltara (40 points)
    LOSS Nisovin's character ends up being heroic (30 points)
    WIN A Ytt turns into a character dead in the present (50 points)
    WIN Rohbear Leomaris shows up in the campaign (10 points)
    WIN Phineas Barringster shows up in the campaign (30 points)
    LOSS Coober shows up in the campaign (40 points)
    LOSS The party actually reaches the top of the tower (500 points)
    LOSS Bopen is seen climbing the tower (1000 points)

    WIN The Divine Decision has a technical issue of some kind (30 points)
    LOSS The Divine Decision goes off without a hitch (50 points)

    WIN No player characters die (40 points)
    LOSS 1-3 player characters die (40 points)
    LOSS The entire party dies (200 points)

    LOSS Nisovin uses his Fortune Potion to save a life (30 points)
    LOSS Nisovin uses his Fortune Potion to solve an encounter or puzzle (40 points)
    WIN Nisovin doesn't use his Fortune Potion (80 points)

    LOSS Nobody gets their Legendary (80 points)
    WIN At least one person gets a Legendary (30 points)
    LOSS Everybody gets their Legendary (150 points)

    Some of those are a little oddball, but I'll get to my reasoning at the end, though I'm still open for changes being made. With that said, after all was said and done, @Ulthax ended up being the winner of this round with 290 points, with the newcomers @CS1 and @Doubleupomega in second and third place respectively, with an impressive 230 and 210 points! The bets were NOT forgiving this week, and a lot of adjustment will be made for next time, but there were still some out-of-the-park bets.

    Ulthax: 290
    CS1: 230  
    Doubleupomega: 210
    Sgtdevel: 200
    loserscryer: 145
    AwesomeName7: 130
    Crater26: 120
    ShadowPoow: 90
    NovaXII: 85
    updradedsam3000: 80
    helperbot0613: 75
    Spacewalker: 75
    Dragonnskull: 65
    Weslid: 65
    laton95: 60
    kilozombie: 55
    Dalard: 45
    Ozoner: 40
    Ninja_Goose: 35
    proudmhello: 30
    Gushy48: 5
    Maesquin: 0
    scooter0427: 0
    Flyntloch: 0
    CookiesAndMil_: 0
    Toruk: 0
    flamingrubys: 0
    Jj_TeRroR_jJ: 0
    Cave: 0
    Phendrix: 0
    Kingedyou: 0
    Bernard7620: 0
    mychest88: 0
    Caspian: 0
    StealthInel: 0
    Falirion: 0
    Wrecklessangel: 0
    brandon: 0
    Nyrrix: 0
    Razer: 0
    bl1ndn3rd: 0
    KingTyler: 0
    SilvDragon: 0
    lord1agames: 0
    Honeystorm: 0
    Shellguy: 0
    Ceerol: 0
    ThePhatSass: 0
    Zerxrez: 0
    JSeaxe: 0


    And, lastly, the total running tally of all points across all rounds:

    NovaXII: 885
    Ulthax: 831
    AwesomeName7: 755
    Crater26: 735
    Sgtdevel: 660
    Jj_TeRroR_jJ: 586
    Weslid: 555
    Dalard: 500
    Cave: 496
    NeoDragon: 470
    splash: 413
    Phendrix: 390
    Razer: 370
    rebloac: 345
    Gushy48: 330
    updradedsam3000: 325
    kilozombie: 308
    CanadianCrusader: 290
    Toruk: 280
    ZeothZeta: 275
    Valariumis: 260
    loserscryer: 250
    Katapharos: 233
    CS1: 230
    DigitalCamouflage: 220
    Doubleupomega: 210
    Flyntloch: 205
    Dart: 195
    Kingedyou: 195
    ShadowPoow: 190
    Dragonnskull: 185
    helperbot0613: 180
    Ninja_Goose: 180
    Xlane: 178
    TDScott8: 175
    Siegfried: 150
    Seath: 138
    Astora: 136
    Timedagger100: 133
    scooter0427: 130
    Squid_Chair: 125
    cj_the_magic_man: 121
    PoweradeCookie: 115
    Stealthlnel: 113
    brandon: 110
    Nyrrix: 110
    Tamwin5: 100
    Wolfblaze9917: 98
    GreenPhoenix: 86
    McKooy: 85
    Caspian: 85
    TheSurfingRhydon: 83
    Spacewalker: 75
    Sixfeatunder: 75
    DanOfSteel: 73
    lord1agames: 70
    StealthInel: 65
    laton95: 60
    NeoReaperXIII: 58
    Ozoner: 40
    proudmhello: 30
    Dust: 20
    Pufflemore: 20
    Lazmark: 15
    snicorn: 10

    FUN FACTS! And other stuff, of course:
    @CS1 came into this round as their first time, and proceeded to nearly win all the marbles without a SINGLE misplaced bet-- a flawless round. Basically a complete and utter badass.
    @Maesquin earned precisely 0 points-- which might sound like a kind of rude thing to say, but that's without any underflow or overflow, just a complete equilibrium, which I think is an achievement in of itself.
    @Ulthax shot ahead rapidly in the total points category, NEARLY beating @NovaXII in what's becoming a close race. The top betters are constantly hopping over each other in place, but Nova remains with the #1 position... for now.
    Some bets this week were a little hard to determine-- the 'Coe plays a furry' one is difficult, but I ended up making it a win, simply because although the wording of the bet was not quite in favor, he certainly played a big dude with a massive animal affinity. Please let me know what you think, though!
    3/4 of bets relating to Nisovin were a loss, and 3/4 of bets relating to Spiff were a win.

    I hope to see y'all next time, perhaps when I have my point counts balanced a tad better? Either way, thanks for coming, and sorry for the extremely harsh bets this time around!
  • Ughh, I remember when I used to be in top ten, now I am doing so horribly 
  • I can't believe no one died, that was crazy, also all the things with niso were kinda bummer :\
  • I didn't realize these were at thing and I should definitely take part next time. That said, @kilozombie ;
    I'd consider Nisovin entering the realm of holding while inside the realm of holding and teleporting to another floor counts as breaking the campaign in some way, although maybe you just don't think it was enough.
  • whoa a lot of people lost all their points (including me).. man us with no points did really poorly
  • edited November 2017
    @blockington99 ;
    For some reason I didn't really think of that! I was searching for an instance where he particularly broke the campaign in some manner, but in retrospect, time travel and turning into a cow and opening a Bag of Holding are all pretty... broken things.

    If I get the willpower/enough sleep, I will go and recalculate everyone's things based on that info.
  • I told myself not to go with the they reach the top vote, but the campaign was half done before I remembered to do so, and it was kind of too late for me to change it.

    Ah well, there's always next year.
  • At least I didn't get 0 points. Just got 5...I hate my life
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